10% slope change, total mortality, TFR = 2.0

10% slope change, total mortality, TFR = 2.0

    Year 2000 Year 2030 Year 2050
Total population   281,421,906 353,822,141 386,709,658
Population 65+   34,991,753 70,183,578 85,083,911
Population 85+   4,239,587 8,948,794 21,081,868
Population 100+   50,454 337,856 1,538,789
Dependency ratios: 100x(dependent ages)/(ages 20-64)
  (0-19)+(65+) 0.70 0.82 0.86
  (0-19) 0.48 0.46 0.45
  (65+) 0.21 0.36 0.41
Life expectancy at birth
  Male 74.03 76.24 78.04
  Female 79.39 82.25 84.74
Life expectancy at age 20
  Male 55.10 57.27 59.07
  Female 60.20 63.06 65.56
Life expectancy at age 65
  Male 15.91 18.30 20.32
  Female 18.98 21.87 24.43
Life expectancy at age 85
  Male 5.18 7.29 9.23
  Female 6.39 8.98 11.49
Note: intrinsic is defined as total mortality minus accidents, homicide, and suicide